Thinkingaboutconsequences
2022
2024
Face coverings are recommended for all those living in cities to protect from air pollution.
This is already the case in some countries e.g. Kathmandu.
London has “high pollution days” already
How will this affect how we see our cities/how desirable will they remain?
Realisation that air pollution is a real / immediate crisis
Will this mean richest of rich cities/inhabitants change settings/systems?
Investment in more electric vehicles/scooters/bikes in rich cities
Rocketing steel production
The manufacture of petrol/diesel vehicles is banned
Nuclear power plants open in certain countries that can afford the expensive technology
Extractive industries expand
2030
Injustice leads to activism
Competition for resources
Mining/destruction of lands
The United Nations begins global geo-engineering by adding aerosol particles into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight and reduce temperature
“Technology will fix it” attitudes
Efforts to re-introduce “old growth” forests increase. Corporate donations and public money fund the biggest tree planting campaign in history
Climate change protests frequently turn into riots
Climate terrorism?
Banning gatherings? Censorship?
Does there need to be a trigger event? Someone killed/imprisoned? Public debate/polarisation?
Kill the Bill
Insects are the main normalised as a source of protein in our diets
Awareness of health effects of meat
Mushroom growing (local)
Animal protein and dairy products have disappeared from our diets
Who is “our”? How is it perceived? Rich/poor
All but a few countries have banned [trawler] fishing
Restrictions on livestock farming imposed
The UK no longer burns fossil fuels
Global popularity of Green parties spike, with many now in power
Increased polarization (politically)
Eco Facism?
Still polarization even within Green parties
Disarray of traditional political parties
Traditional parties perhaps offer alternatives to such restrictive policies, having fallen out of favour
Resulting in more ‘hardcore’ restrictive policies
Domestic and commercial electricity use is rationed
2050
**TOUGH TIMES**
Average life expectancy falls to 65M/70F
Impacts from previous actions become extreme
+Microplastics
+Fertility +Microbiome
+Extreme weather events
Immunity issues
Increased susceptibility to pathogens
DNA/Epigenome damage
Increased susceptibility to cancers/neurodegenerative diseases
Life extension technologies/bioengineering reserved for the wealthy
We are experiencing lots of crazy stressful things while in restrictive (but necessary) policies
All homes and buildings now produce their own electricity
2030-2050 was a crescendo/coming together of action
2050-2070 is a period of adjustment, reflection and adaptation. Bearing with impacts and beginning healing.
After strict measures structural changes make embedded change possible but environmental impacts still unavoidable
Populations of mammals, birds, fish, reptiles and amphibians have, on average, declined by 60%
2070
Still impacts from tough times emerging but balanced by promising stats that provide future hope
Island residents are relocated due to the impact of sea level rise
The air is cleaner than it has been since before the industrial revolution
Still disparity between nations
+
A time of learning to work together ensues
Communal food projects are now commonplace and local communities grow their own vegetables, collect rainwater and compost
2100
Thinkingaboutcatalysts
2100
Climate change ceases to be considered a problem
Optimistic? Pessimistic?
Adaptation? Can humans, animals, plants successfully adapt to climate change
How will we live? Technology advancements allow us to live in a very different world
The air is cleaner than it has been since before the industrial revolution
The amount of Carbon Dioxide emitted by the UK reduces to zero
Clean alternatives?
Where is it outsourced to?
2070
Insects are the main more popular source of protein in our diets
All but a few countries have now banned restricted fishing
Sustainably
Important source of protein
Zero production of plastics
Microplastics
Populations of mammals, birds, fish, reptiles and amphibians have, on average, declined by 60%
Intensive farming, monocultures impacting biodiversity
invasive species
Increase in temperature and animals unable to adapt in time
Global trade has slowed, as countries stop exporting and seek to hold on to their own resources
Global popularity of Green parties spike, with many now in power
The UK no longer burns fossil fuels
No longer needed due to nuclear and renewables
Nuclear power plants open in certain countries that can afford the expensive technology
A fuel/energy crisis meant increased investment in nuclear power
2050
All homes and buildings now produce their own electricity
Cheaper production of solar panels
Rationing and prices?
Animal protein and dairy products have disappeared from our diets
Reduced not disappeared
Alternatives / issues arising from lab grown meat/soy products
The manufacture of petrol and diesel vehicles is banned
Restrictions on livestock farming imposed
Result of carbon tax, becomes too expensive
Introduce a carbon tax on polluting farms/agricultural industry
Climate change protests frequently turn into riots
Fuel rations
New anti-protest bill may make it more confrontational
People will want change/have had enough of severe weather events increasing
Island residents are relocated due to the impact of sea level rises
Could cause protests both in support of and opposition to immigrants
2030
Domestic and commercial electricity is rationed
Already starting due to prices going up
Conflicts impacting imports
Efforts to re-introduce “old growth” forests increase. Corporate donations and public money fund the biggest tree planting campaign in history
Already starting now
Big demand for offsetting
The United Nations begins global geo-engineering by adding aerosol particles into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight and reduce temperature
Doesn’t tackle the problem
Will be proposed
Techno-solution
Face coverings are recommended for all those living in cities to protect from air pollution
Kairos! Already doing this due to pandemic
2022
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